Aaron Dishner|Oct 16, 2026 03:12
Bitcoin’s sweep to 79,800 on Thursday hasn’t changed my bullish outlook: the daily close was green, the TBO slow line is still rising, and the flush did little damage to RSI. I see a familiar lows-first, higher-highs setup-not a confirmed head-and-shoulders reversal-but price remains in bearish consolidation, so the larger bullish trend is not the same as short-term confirmation.
Ethereum’s sweep to 2,318 broke a more important support level, yet lower price lows against higher RSI lows give me a bullish divergence to watch. Its weekly TBO close-short retracement is another reason I’m looking for a recovery rather than assuming the trend is finished. Bitcoin dominance at 60.52% is the complication: further strength would pressure alts, while I still expect stablecoin dominance to unwind. OTHERS needs a weekly close above weekly resistance to strengthen the broader altcoin case.
I’m watching DXY’s bearish RSI divergence for a pullback, while silver’s bounce from TBO support offers potential upside toward the fast line despite its strong bearish daily trend. HONEY’s TBO springboard bounce has me watching resistance, but thin volume in SN62 and SAUCE is a reminder to keep position size in check.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 Bitcoin Sweeps The Lows While The Macro Trend Holds
03:04 Ethereum Support Breaks And Bullish RSI Divergence
06:58 Bitcoin Dominance Breakouts Pressure Altcoins
09:53 TOTALES Support And Reversal Risk
12:12 OTHERS Market Cap Needs Weekly Resistance Confirmation
14:13 DXY Bearish Divergence And TradFi Conditions
18:19 NVIDIA Oversold Dip And Equity-Market Weakness
26:31 HONEY Springboard Bounce And Resistance Targets
29:00 SN62 Liquidity Risk And Position Sizing
33:17 HBAR Cloud Support And Low-Volume Altcoin Risks
43:30 BP Weekly Strength, Bearish Warnings And Viewer Picks
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