Checked out Polymarket and Kalshi's predictions for tonight's CPI inflation! If nothing unexpected happens, it seems like the probability of meeting expectations is pretty high, with the forecast at 3.6%! Currently, Polymarket's pricing is focused on two outcomes: the probability of CPI meeting expectations at 3.6% is 42%, and at 3.7% is 40%! See Figure 1. On Kalshi's page, the probability of CPI being above 3.5% is about 88%, above 3.6% is about 48%, and above 3.7% is about 9%! See Figure 2. So, landing at 3.6% and meeting expectations seems like the most likely scenario. Considering the upcoming midterm elections and last month's crazy non-farm payroll data, we all know what's going on—it's all about serving the midterms and stabilizing the financial markets! Got a feeling something good is happening tonight. Plus, with European capital recently hedging by buying U.S. Treasuries, the 10-year Treasury yield dropping seems highly likely. Overall, this is bullish for crypto and risk assets! Don’t hesitate, just go for it! This post is sponsored by @binancezh: "Buy U.S. stocks on Binance: Global assets, zero time lag, one-click access"!