加密前线(糖哥)
加密前线(糖哥)|Oct 09, 2026 12:19
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC The overall structure of BTC has not undergone significant changes in recent times, and more of it is a local chain reaction caused by structural migration in the micro environment. In this article, Sugar Brother tries to extract brief language to express clearly the structural position of the market at different levels in the current trend, as well as the interdependence between them. From the daily trend, in the past two weeks, Sugar Brother has emphasized that this is a volatile box structure derived from the right shoulder of the golden pit, with an upper track at 880 and a lower track at 819. As of now, the price has not escaped from this range, so let's use this as a basis to clarify the possibility of the next likely trend. Looking at the above track 880 as a reference, the high points of price rebound in the past ten days have encountered obstacles in this region, and considering the overall market, the suppression in the 880 area will continue to exist for a long time in the future trend, accompanied by a slow downward movement of suppression. That is to say, after the subsequent low-level prices reach the region again, the suppression will still exist; After crossing the area at a large level, there will be a reverse selling pressure (the larger the crossing, the stronger the corresponding selling pressure), making it difficult to experience a continuous rise. Taking track 819 as a reference, Tang Ge reminded yesterday: "The probability of short-term price drops caused by the bottom divergence after the increase of negative divergence is not high. For small levels, the main focus is on low-level bottoming out sideways, and the subsequent trend is likely to enter the low-level sideways with a rebound after the dip." The core of this low-level sideways is naturally the area of the daily box below track 819. With 819 as the core, the rise above it to the 845 area belongs to the stretching of the bear side. In my trading discipline, it is not a structural position to chase the rise. If I have to ask why, it is that there are also multiple armies in the bear structure, but these multiple armies are difficult to form a climate, and often cause greater pullbacks in the context of bear counterattacks. It is recommended to refer to the previous low to grab a rebound after the price falls below 819. Summary: The suppression above 880 belongs to large-scale long-term suppression, but the support below 819 is often small-scale short-term support, and the two are not on the same level. (Theory: The rebound brought by small-scale short-term support requires many rebound batches to resolve large-scale long-term suppression, for example, the principle that adding ten 10s together is 100 is the same). So the rebound within the support range of 819 is actually a larger level of break and draw action, and we need to further guard against possible breaks. Short term suppression of 84080-84498 (slow rise is effective, sudden rise should be raised to 85263-86440 to find support), Short term support: 81310-80744 (at that time, the suppression will further move downwards, with fast in and fast out as the main trend. In a slow downward trend, it is advisable to layout the head position at 82010 and operate the tail position at a ratio of 1:2), and the second support: 78849-77950 (sudden drop to grab rebound) Note: Sugar Brother's articles are all interconnected, and in the event of other trends, the previous brainstorming is effective. BTC
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