小龙先生|Oct 08, 2026 22:35
☀️ 3D Integrated Trading System | BTC Market Early Bus
---Long positions enter the market to take over, temporarily stabilizing near 80K, followed by narrow fluctuations in the future!
The current price is around 81800, with a pullback of about 6.4% from the high point of 87396. The price fell to around 80K at one point, and the downward adjustment has reached the first target price for the correction that I have been predicting these days.
Subsequently, there was a slight rebound. The range of 80K-82K is being repeatedly tested.
1. Long and short positions: bears are depleting, bulls are probing.
Short positions can begin to shrink after several consecutive days of decline, and the intensity of the sell-off is weakening.
The bullish momentum has not significantly increased, but compared to a few days ago, it has doubled and there are signs of consolidation around 80K.
In the past 24 hours, a large number of long positions have been liquidated, and those chasing after them have been buried one after another.
2. On chain data: Whales are buying, but ETFs are withdrawing.
According to Santiment data, medium-sized whales holding 10-10000 BTC have cumulatively increased their holdings by 86702 over the past three weeks, reaching their highest level since April.
On October 5th, there was a net outflow of 24073 BTC from the exchange, the largest single day outflow in seven months, and the exchange's reserve to supply ratio decreased to about 6.5%.
But ETF funds are cooling down. On October 7th, there was a single day outflow of 487.9 million US dollars, the largest since June 25th. ETFs were the core driving force behind BTC's rise from 75K to 87K in September, but now this driving force is weakening.
3. Structural form: 83K is the short-term long short boundary.
The price has fallen back to the strong support level of 80K, and the short-term structure of both long and short sides has weakened. It is estimated that there will be a narrow range of fluctuations and momentum accumulation.
Target Brother clearly stated that 79K is his observation line for reducing positions. If it falls below 79K, he will start reducing his position; If the daily chart closes below 78K, he will clear all long positions.
This means that there are real whale buying opportunities guarding 79K-80K. It is not easy for the BTC price to completely fall below 79K and fall to 70K, and a significant macro bearish factor is needed as a trigger.
Xiaolong's core judgment:
The short-term BTC price will fluctuate narrowly between 81K-82K, with 83K being upper resistance and 79K-80K being lower support.
Whales have a clear defensive intention in this range, but the cooling of ETF funds means that a new catalyst is needed for upward breakthroughs.
79K-80K is the most important defense line in this round of tuning. Hold on, the bull market continues; Breaking below, 70K-71K is the ultimate support.
I still believe that this round of decline and correction is a healthy reversal of the bull market, rather than a complete shift towards a bear market. For those who want to buy BTC at a lower price, you can buy at 79K-81K with a small position.
The strategy for buying bottom spot BTC is: fuzzy correctness. Small drop, small buy, big drop, big buy!
Don't think you can copy to the lowest point, it's difficult. Every pullback is an opportunity to buy, and those who invest in BTC for the long term will feel more comfortable.
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