加密前线(糖哥)
加密前线(糖哥)|Oct 08, 2026 13:27
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC Before we start writing, let's first position the high-level structure: from the macro trend of the daily chart, this is still a oscillation box that has emerged from the right shoulder of the golden pit, with an upper track of 880 and a lower track of 819. The structural position does not need to be changed. From the trend dominated by 4H, the bullish trend is still present, but the short-term trend is bearish. The bearish trend retraces the trend support and supports local bullish and bearish movements, but there is no significant room for performance. From the intraday trend of 1H and below levels, we have followed the "sideways break" model marked in yesterday's chart, so the entire sub level trend is generally bearish. Taking the break point as a reference, the space and probability for direct upward movement are very limited. From a bullish perspective, the only highlight is that there has already been a bottoming out divergence at levels 30 minutes or below, coupled with an increase in negative divergence after a continuous decline. This reduces the probability of a continuous decline in the price during another downturn. In other words, the subsequent trend is likely to enter a low-level sideways trend with a rebound after a dip. Summary: Small cap stocks are generally on the bearish side, but the probability of short-term price declines due to the increase in negative divergence and subsequent bottom divergence is not high. Small cap stocks mainly focus on low-level bottoming and sideways trading. But 819 is a watershed. Before effectively falling below, you can wait for a small-scale breakthrough to step back and enter the market again. However, if it falls below, you need to be prepared for hanging orders after a spatial decline. The reference for the positioning strategy is as follows: In the process of writing the article, the radical single 81910 area mentioned earlier was considered to have been penetrated, but the initial rebound space is limited, so I do not recommend excessive operation. Currently, the lower track of the daily small box still has corresponding support. But under the background of low-level suppression and downward movement, the rebound space is greatly reduced, and the distance from the new support has been lowered by another 500 dollars. I suggest not entering directly; It is best to wait for 15-30 minutes for a bullish structure such as a W-bottom to appear before making a breakthrough and retracement. Currently, continue to lower the order taking point to the 81423-81048 area for fast in and fast out. Short term support 78722-77749 (small level monitoring to rebound) Second support 73787-71211 (copy if available) Short term suppression 83936-84710, Second suppression 86380-87057 BTC
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