彼得兔|Oct 07, 2026 13:14
Yesterday afternoon, I was discussing with friends in the group and pointed out that BTC's 4-hour chart might be forming a triangle. This morning's drop confirmed that judgment was correct. Today, we're following up on BTC's smaller-scale structure:
If the move starting from 87395 is a daily-level pullback, then it's targeting the red upward segment in Chart 2. The internal breakdown of this daily-level pullback is as follows:
87395-82563 is the first wave of the drop, and the move starting from 82563 is the rebound against it. Last night's 86677 marked the end of the rebound, so the drop starting from 86677 is at the same level as 87395-82563, which belongs to the 4-hour level.
The blue Gann angle line 2/1 below (79200-79800) is the dividing line. As long as this position isn't broken, once the drop starting from 86677 finds its bottom, the entire daily-level pullback will end, and the subsequent rise will match the level of the red upward segment.
If the Gann angle line 2/1 is broken and can't be reclaimed, the drop starting from 87395 will expand into a weekly-level pullback targeting the entire upward move from 57800.
In summary, the current trend starting from 87395 is essentially a matter of whether it's a daily-level pullback or a weekly-level pullback. The trend itself is clear.
Right now, there's a lot of disagreement about the upward move from 57800 to 87395, and that's a good thing. Disagreement creates opportunities—when there's no disagreement, it's often the end of a trend.
Since I first pointed out on September 14, 2025, that BTC's upward trend was nearing its end and the subsequent bear market would last until the third or fourth quarter of 2026, at every key point—80600, 97900, 60000, 57800... I've always stood against the majority. But history has proven time and time again that I'm always right. Will this time be an exception? I don't think so.
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