深潮TechFlow
深潮TechFlow|Oct 06, 2026 11:37
[U.S. Bond Volatility Index Surges, Analysts Warn of Potential Volatility Risks for Bitcoin and U.S. Stocks] Deep Tide TechFlow reports that on October 6, according to CoinDesk, volatility in the U.S. Treasury market continues to rise, while Bitcoin and U.S. stock volatility remain at yearly lows. Market analysts warn that turbulence in the bond market may gradually transmit to risk assets. Data shows that the MOVE index, which measures expected volatility in the U.S. Treasury market, rose 46% in June and is currently hovering around 116, close to the March peak and at its highest level since April 2025. In contrast, the S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) and Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility index (BVIV) remain near yearly lows. Wealth management expert Kurt S. Altrichter pointed out that the MOVE index continues to form higher lows, while the VIX index's highs are steadily decreasing. Historically, during 2022, 2023, and the early stages of the Iran war, volatility in the U.S. Treasury market has often preceded risk signals in the stock market. CoinDesk analysis suggests that although Bitcoin's short-term returns do not exhibit a stable correlation with the MOVE index, a sudden surge in U.S. bond volatility could still impact the Bitcoin market. If the MOVE index further breaks past previous highs, investors should be cautious of the risk of synchronized volatility increases in Bitcoin and U.S. stocks.
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