小龙先生|10月 03, 2026 12:35
《Three-Dimensional Trading System|BTC Market Analysis (1/3): Volume》
=== Bulls and bears are evenly matched, and the market is lying flat this weekend!
Current price is around 84,600, BTC has turned into a weekend stablecoin. However, after pulling back from the 87,300 high, the volume structure is deteriorating.
Bullish volume: Failed breakout, clear signs of exhaustion.
Bullish volume has been declining since the main surge on September 21. This rebound's volume is noticeably weaker than the previous breakout. Even though bullish volume was strong on September 30, the bulls were heavily suppressed by the bears.
Bearish volume: Briefly strengthened but lacked sustained pressure.
Bears always ramp up volume near 87K to snipe the bulls. After bearish volume doubled, it quickly weakened. In recent days, bearish volume hasn't continued to expand, leaving both sides in a weak balance.
There's an interesting change in the derivatives market: funding rates have shifted from positive to near negative. Bears are losing the willingness to pay for short positions, but bulls aren't showing interest in paying to chase the rally either.
This indicates that leveraged funds are in a wait-and-see mode, not taking a clear directional stance.
Volume analysis: Bulls and bears seem to be playing guerrilla warfare in the 83K-88K range. Right now, both sides are weak, signaling the end of deleveraging. If 85K is lost, short-term momentum will lean downward.
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