Caleb Franzen|10月 02, 2026 08:37
Financial conditions are loose and accommodative.
In fact, the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (ANFCI) has been making multi-year lows and is only marginally above the lows from October 2021.
Remember October 2021?
The Fed funds rate was 0.08%.
Today, EFFR is 3.88%.
Look at the acceleration in 2022, when the market was pricing in a material rate hike cycle, and compare it vs. today.
Notice anything?
Yes, the Fed has hiked... but the market doesn't believe that this is a new regime of tight/aggressive monetary policy.
The market still sees an accommodative monetary backdrop.
That's one of the reasons why I think this market is rock-solid and why I continue to maintain a bullish outlook on the stock market (and a new bullish outlook on Bitcoin).
Embrace nuance and good luck.
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