比特币橙子Trader
比特币橙子Trader|Oct 01, 2026 08:29
After reading the update of Robinhood today, I casually flipped through the Robinhood Chain again. Stock Tokens can now be traded on the chain 24/7, AI agents have also started entering accounts to execute trades, and Robinhood is continuing to expand its US stock trading hours. Stocks Crypto、Meme、 Predicting the market Agent, These areas are becoming more and more like an all-weather financial market. But there is one thing that is still early: the Robinhood Chain native prediction market. Robinhood has already verified the requirements very clearly, and a total of 13.6 billion event contracts were traded in Q2 this year. Now even company financial reports can be opened directly, betting on whether revenue will exceed expectations. So today I specifically researched the prediction market project on the chain and found that RobinDog's project is quite interesting, especially its stock return Combo, which has a very high capital utilization rate. Simply put, when participating in company event forecasting, you can choose to use the same forecasted funds and establish long or short positions in related Stock Tokens. For example, if you predict that NVIDIA's financial report will exceed expectations, you can bet on the financial report results while going long on related Stock Tokens. If you feel that although the financial report may exceed expectations, the market has already been priced in, you can also bet on the financial report exceeding expectations while shorting the Stock Token. One fund, two uses. If the prediction is correct, you can eat the predicted market returns, the stock direction is also judged correctly, and you can also have another layer of Stock Token price fluctuations. The ordinary prediction of whether this will happen in the market is basically over. For example, will NVIDIA's financial report exceed expectations, YES / NO, Lottery settlement. RobinDog wants to continue moving forward. Will the stock price rise after the financial report exceeds expectations? Will the market sell the news instead of being priced in? What assets will be affected by this event in the future? They call this whole set StoryFi, breaking down an event into three layers: Event, Story, and Impact. What interests me the most here is the Narrative Combo Positions they have planned. The most impressive thing is the utilization rate of funds. I bet on whether something will happen and how the market will go after the outcome is announced. Previously, these two transactions had to be done separately, but now they want to merge them into one fund to fully utilize the funds. This design runs smoothly on Robinhood Chain because Stock Tokens are already on the chain. After a news release, the predicted results and asset price reactions can finally be integrated into the same set of products. In the future, an event can continue to grow new positions: Product launch → Whether sales exceed expectations → Whether financial reports improve → How stock prices react → Will competitors be affected. RobinDog now has over a dozen markets on its official website that can be connected to wallets for participation, mainly focusing on Robinhood Chain, Pons, Crypto, and ecological projects, with some markets already having tens of thousands of dollars in trading volume. At present, the real market that is running is still the basic forecasting market. Story Trees、Conditional Impact Markets、Battlegrounds, And the functions of Stock Token combination trading still need to be evaluated based on the speed of implementation. But I think this direction is quite appropriate. Robinhood has already put its assets on the chain, and the next step is naturally to turn the stories that affect asset prices into a tradable market.
+5
Mentioned
Share To

Timeline

HotFlash

APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink

Hot Reads