子棋(重生版)|Sep 30, 2026 13:30
Just now, bitcoin:native suddenly surged, and it’s not without reason—the newly released inflation data came in significantly lower than expected!
After the data release, the probability of a Fed rate hike in October dropped noticeably, U.S. Treasury yields fell, and U.S. stock futures strengthened.
Technically, after BTC stopped declining, its lows have been steadily rising. On the 4-hour chart, it broke through the descending trendline with volume and reclaimed the short-term moving average. This upward structure is healthier than relying solely on short covering.
The funding side is also cooperating—spot ETFs have seen net inflows for nine consecutive trading days, while BTC net outflows from exchanges continue during the same period, reducing the short-term supply of spot BTC available for selling.
That said, $85,000 itself is a heavy resistance zone.
If $85,000 holds, the next targets are $86,500–$87,400. A volume breakout above $87,400 could open the door to $89,000–$90,000.
If it falls back to $84,000, treat it as a range-bound rebound. If it breaks below $83,000, this breakout attempt will be considered a failure.
There’s likely another push coming, but another push doesn’t mean a full reversal yet. The real confirmation lies in whether BTC can turn $85,000 from resistance into support.
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