小龙先生
小龙先生|Sep 28, 2026 21:59
Yushu Technology Stock Price Analysis: Did it fall to the bottom after being kicked out by Lei Jun? ——Conclusion: The drop from 1100 to 459 is a halving, but the "bottom" has not yet been reached, and there is a high probability that it will still be halved ❗ ️ 1. How much has the stock price fallen? As of September 28th, the stock price is 459.65 yuan, the market value is 185.9 billion yuan, and the dynamic PE is 339 times. On the first day of listing, the highest price was 1100 yuan and the market value was 444.9 billion yuan, but now it is only a fraction. The financing balance has been declining for four consecutive days, with a turnover rate of 8.76% and a transaction volume shrinking from 23.1 billion to 1.2 billion. 2. Analysis of Xiaolong's Six Dimensional System (A-share Version) Dimension 1: Chip structure (bearish): The circulating stock is only 7.44%, and subsequent unlocking is a hanging sword; Dimension 2: Market sentiment (bearish): Turnover rate has decreased from 85% to 8.76%, with a significant decline in sentiment; Dimension 3 funding game (bearish): The financing balance has been declining for 4 consecutive days, and the willingness of the main force to undertake has weakened; Dimension ④ Valuation anchor point (bearish): PE 339 times, industry average only 38 times; Dimension ⑤ Regulatory Environment (Neutral): As the third quarter report window approaches, the pressure of performance verification is increasing; Dimension ⑥ Market Style (Neutral): The sector has entered a 1-6 month digestion period. Six dimensional comprehensive judgment: Damn it, the analysis result shows that there are 4 short selling dimensions, 2 neutral dimensions, and 0 long dimensions! Shocked! Brothers and sisters, on the whole, the stock price of Yushu Technology is still empty, and the valuation digestion has not been completed. 3. Institutional target price gap Nomura's target price is 370 yuan, with a 20% downward potential compared to the current price. Jianyin International gave 270 yuan, even more ruthless. The reasonable valuation given by the lead underwriter CITIC Securities is a market value of 50.6-55.9 billion yuan, corresponding to approximately 125-138 yuan per share, which is lower than the issue price. 4. Fundamental flaws In 2025, with a revenue of 1.699 billion (+332%) and a gross profit margin of over 60%, it is the only humanoid robot manufacturer in the world to achieve large-scale profitability. But in the first half of 2026, the revenue growth rate dropped to 48.54%, and the non recurring net profit decreased by 19.34% year-on-year. Profit is shrinking, PE is in the sky. 5. What should we do next? Short term fluctuations within the range of 450-500. Mid term valuation digestion remains the main theme. Key observations: whether the non recurring net profit in the third quarter report can stop falling, whether the financing balance continues to decline, and the pressure of lifting restrictions. Xiaolong Core Judgment: Yushu Technology's stock price has halved, but 339 times PE corresponds to a company whose profits are still declining, and valuation digestion has just begun. The six dimensional system has four short selling dimensions and zero long selling dimensions, with clear short signals. The true bottom of Yushu Technology has not yet been reached. ⚡ I personally predict that the stock price of Yushu Technology will plummet again, dropping to around 230 yuan. Don't rush to copy Yushu Technology, my friends.
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