Whether we can stand firm around 83000 tonight depends on the trend of the US stock market after opening! Bitcoin: After falling from $87400, native has already fallen below the short-term moving average within 4 hours. The bearish momentum of MACD is still being released, and the short-term structure has clearly weakened. However, RSI6 has dropped to around 23, and KDJ has also entered the oversold zone. Continuing to chase short now, the profit and loss ratio is not good. OKX Tonight, we will mainly focus on the Nasdaq, US Treasury yields, and oil prices. If the Nasdaq continues to decline and US bond yields remain high, BTC is likely to test $82000. After a large volume falls below, the price range is between $80000 and $80500. If the US stock market opens low and rises, the US bond yield may fall, and BTC may experience a technical rebound. First, look at $84000, and only by regaining a stable position of $84500 can the short-term decline be truly stopped. There are also differences in funding. The BTC spot ETF had a net inflow of approximately $2.4 billion last week, but daily inflows are slowing down and institutions are still taking on the market, although they are not continuing to compete. It is more likely to maintain a small net inflow this week, with one to two outflow days in between. My judgment is that this week, the market is expected to weaken first and then stabilize. The main operating range is between 80000 and 85500 US dollars, with 80000 US dollars holding. There is still a chance for recovery in the second half of the week; $80000 lost, see below for $78000. Don't rush to guess the bottom tonight. Whether $82000 can rebound or not is not important. After the US stock market opens, whether funds are willing to catch the rebound or not will determine whether this cycle of trading is a wash or the beginning of a deeper adjustment.