Philip Swift|Sep 28, 2026 08:26
Bitcoin ETF flows are NOT a leading indicator.
I’ve said this for a long time, but now we finally have enough data to see it clearly.
Look at BlackRock’s IBIT:
🟢 Huge cluster of inflows at the cycle TOP
🔴 Huge cluster of outflows at the cycle BOTTOM
That’s not forecasting price, that’s reacting to price.
I think of ETF flows more like a tradfi Fear & Greed Index. They tell you how mainstream investors are feeling right now, not so much where Bitcoin is going next.
So when you see people on here getting excited because ETF inflows are surging and using that as evidence BTC must go higher...
Remember this chart.
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