[US CFTC 'Event Contracts' Guidance Highlights New Regulatory Challenges] According to Deep Tide TechFlow on September 26, a report from Galaxy Research indicates that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance on 'event contracts.' These predictive contracts are settled based on specific individuals' statements, attendance, or interactions. Since the individuals involved can directly influence the outcomes, such contracts may face higher risks of manipulation, information asymmetry, and verification difficulties. The CFTC's Division of Market Oversight proposed four evaluation factors, requiring designated contract markets to enhance trading restrictions, monitoring, and risk controls. The guidance is for reference only, is non-binding, and does not prohibit the listing of such contracts. The article suggests that existing measures can identify manipulation involving trading or coordinated actions but may struggle to address scenarios where individuals independently trigger contract outcomes without economic incentives.