Dan Gambardello
Dan Gambardello|Sep 25, 2026 15:53
After multiple bull cycles, the biggest lesson I've learned is to stop picking exact price targets to sell. I'll be exiting within a range based on risk and macro factors. It's time to start thinking about this now. The last real crypto bull market was 2020 into 2021, and 2022 to 2025 was a nice move but it wasn't a business cycle expansion bull market. That one is still setting up. I zoomed way out on Bitcoin and laid out my range for this cycle, $137K to $390K. I know that seems like a wide range, but the business cycle will decide where BTC ends up in it within it. Still to be determined. And again, I will be exiting within a range based on risk and macro factors. The bull market hasn't happened yet 0:00 Daily chart bearish divergence 1:00 Weekly inverse head and shoulders 2:15 Last cycle's QT and the dip 4:11 The big fakeout 6:00 Copper, gold and the Russell 2000 8:26 Why the pattern is disqualified 10:15 $137K to $390K targets 11:45 90s-style boom 13:05 CCV Business Cycle Index 15:00 Short-term range 17:21 Downside levels 19:00 Path back to the 120s 20:00 Final thoughts 21:17
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