Coin Bureau|Sep 24, 2026 13:47
Markets are now bracing for the Fed to stay hawkish for MUCH longer.
There’s now a 75% chance of at least 3 more rate hikes by June 2027, while CME FedWatch centers the June 2027 range around 4.75%-5.00%.
U.S. Treasury yields are surging across the ENTIRE curve:
10Y: above 5.1%, near 2007 levels
20Y: approaching 5.5%
30Y: hits 5.4% today
TLT: below $80 at RECORD LOWS
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) tracks long-dated U.S. Treasuries, so it typically falls when long-term yields rise.
At the same time:
Dollar Index: above 101
Gold: just above $4,200
USD/JPY: near 159
Strong economic data, higher oil prices, inflation risks and massive capital demand are keeping pressure on rates.
The setup is starting to resemble 2022: a hawkish Fed, surging yields and a stronger dollar.
No wonder BONDS are going VERTICAL.
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