加密前线(糖哥)|9月 24, 2026 10:58
Daily Market Analysis — BTC
In the article on the 22nd, Sugar Bro pointed out: BTC’s large-scale K-line pattern hasn’t exhausted yet, but it also hasn’t broken through. Recently, it’s mainly been forming new daily-level fluctuations and small-scale spikes. For smaller timeframes, the relatively safer long-position strategy is to wait for a spatial pullback before entering. The pullback and low-entry points that started yesterday align with expectations.
Looking at today’s large-scale trend, although there’s been some localized pullback, it’s still within the healthy correction range for the larger timeframe. The K-line pattern here remains intact and hasn’t exhausted yet. After failing to break through earlier, the localized pullback is a typical adjustment. It’s highly likely to form a new fluctuation range between the midline of August’s late-month consolidation (788) and the high point of this rally (873). This helps to absorb the upper resistance, raise the market’s holding cost, and prepare for a potential rally in the next phase.
From the mid-to-short-term structure, with the pullback that occurred overnight, the internal levels have generally shifted downward during the breakdown. The smaller timeframes are starting to lean towards bearish divergence. Therefore, today we need to be cautious of further fluctuations and rebounds in smaller timeframes, followed by a secondary dip.
Summary: On the larger timeframe, the mid-to-long-term support structure is still intact, and some cycles even show strong support. However, smaller timeframes are generally starting to diverge towards bearish trends. The current market state is essentially a battle between small-timeframe bears and large-timeframe bulls. It’s recommended to use the “Lifeline Strategy” to sell high during smaller timeframe rebounds after breakdowns and to buy low when the secondary dip reaches large-timeframe support.
Short-term resistance is in the current range. Pay attention to whether the 30-minute MA30 and MA250 form a death cross overnight, and whether MA250 bends downward after meeting the breakdown conditions. Before these conditions are met, short-term resistance can be referenced at 84544-85193, with secondary resistance at 86679-88690.
Short-term support is at 82099-80917 (for active monitoring, you can split positions for quick in-and-out trades at a 1:2 ratio). Secondary support is at 77396-76619 (quick in-and-out trades). $BTC
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