The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|Sep 23, 2026 03:42
Global government debt has surged to unprecedented levels: The Debt-to-GDP ratio of emerging market economies is up to ~78%, its highest level in data going back to 1880. Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, this metric has more than doubled and surpassed the ~45% peak seen during World War II. Before 2020, this ratio never exceeded 60% and is now approaching 80% for the first time. Meanwhile, the Debt-to-GDP ratio of advanced economies is up to ~108% and has been above 100% for the last 10 years. Before the 2008 Financial Crisis, this figure stood below 80%. Deficit spending has become a global crisis.
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