三木Trader
三木Trader|Sep 22, 2026 06:02
Follow up on the expected position of ETH Four different cycles with larger backgrounds are still in a bullish trend Maintain a bullish mindset and avoid short selling Only a 15 minute cycle shows a weak pullback within the day, but this is also reasonable for a continuous upward trend At present, the holding cost is still acceptable, but it can only be considered acceptable because the cost has significantly increased after adding positions a few times So we still need to be vigilant and avoid excessive profit sharing If the small cycle can maintain health (sideways/slowly rising), it will continue to hold There are three backgrounds that may consider leaving 1/Clearly accelerating upward trend, with a significant increase in speed, volume, and magnitude. Against the backdrop of sustained upward momentum, this market is likely to emerge from a short-term high and enter a complex wide range oscillation or significant pullback space (not a reversal, not a short selling strategy) 2/Accelerated rise within the range with a second highest but failed to maintain strength, due to the background of intraday weakness. This characteristic will make the market more complex. In this situation, consideration will be given to reducing positions (protecting some profits), as the trend has not changed, but the overall leverage is high. The focus is on protecting profits, and some positions will be used to game future expectations 3/Weakening due to a bearish trend is the most difficult trend. If the bearish trend does not accelerate, it is very difficult to determine whether it has fallen to the bottom, whether it has penetrated, and even if it may accelerate at any time, which will result in a loss of most profits. Therefore, when the price falls to a critical level, the position will be withdrawn for observation If the market is slowly oscillating upwards, this is the most ideal market expectation and is usually worth holding on to At present, both BTC and Nasdaq are relatively healthy, and they will continue to hold positions until they break out of their characteristics I have always wanted to crack down on knockoffs, but most of them have been beaten up and the funds have withdrawn a lot. It seems that making big money in the market requires two core elements: large positions and large fluctuations Nowadays, the positions have been roughly allocated, and the risks associated with holding have long been avoided. The remaining factor is whether the market can provide a consistent direction for large fluctuations
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