Hupzy (Spot On Chain)|9月 19, 2026 22:58
BofA's September fund manager survey: 𝟱𝟯% say long semiconductors is the most crowded trade — 4th straight month at #1. A record 𝟯𝟯% see corporate overinvestment, the highest reading ever. "Short Treasuries" climbed to 2nd at 18%, displacing "long Mag 7" after 23 months on top.
𝗛𝘂𝗽𝘇𝘆 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: Crowded positioning is a contrarian risk flag. Semis at 53% with record overinvestment concern means elevated reversal risk if any negative catalyst lands — the crowd is already eyeing the exit. The "short Treasuries" shift is the stealth signal: if the Fed surprises dovish, Treasury shorts face a squeeze that's risk-on for BTC and broader assets.
MU perps on Hyperliquid are the direct semis proxy. BTC benefits if a Treasury short squeeze triggers risk-on rotation. Both crowded trades warrant caution into October.
source: KobeissiLetter
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