[Probability of Fed Rate Hike in October is 53.1%] According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by October is 46.9%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 53.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by December is 9.4%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike probability at 48.1% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike probability at 42.5%.