彼得兔
彼得兔|Sep 16, 2026 14:56
We first conducted a systematic analysis of CRCL's fundamentals and technical aspects on April 30th. So far, the judgments on several key time nodes and trend directions of CRCL in the past six months have been basically verified ✅ What should we do next? As shown in Figure 1, the expected trend of CRCL in the video on August 20th is that the upward trend starting from 57.84 is likely to end in September, followed by a correction against this upward trend. Trend judgment ultimately needs to be implemented in transactions. On September 4th, while clearing all positions in encrypted contracts, we also reminded friends with heavy positions or those who caught up during the upward trend to reduce their positions in CRCL. Subsequently, as shown in Figure 2, a short position was placed on CRCL on September 14th, and the short selling logic behind this transaction was clearly explained in the tweet on September 15th. Not only CRCL, but looking back at the targets I have mentioned since posting, you will find that my analysis is coherent: first judge the trend of the big cycle, and then track the structure of the small level; Trends determine direction, while structure determines entry and exit. Whether it's the previous multiple orders, spot orders, or the subsequent short orders, they are basically executed step by step according to the previous judgment. Multiple orders and spot goods have also been sold at temporary highs. The only thing that's a bit regrettable is that I haven't been able to keep this empty order until now on the 14th. However, there are inevitably regrets in life, let alone in transactions? So there is no need to expect every stroke to be done to the extreme. The direction is correct, the rhythm is accurate, and the profit that should be obtained in a trend market is generally satisfactory. The judgment that the rebound from 103.28 is aimed at the upward trend of 57.84-103.28 remains unchanged. Currently, the first wave of four hour level pullback is running. If the daily K closing line is above 80.56 and no new lows are broken afterwards, the first period of decline ends, followed by a rebound of the same level, and the rebound endpoint is found to continue the pullback. The support level below 80.56 is at 75.24, and the gains and losses at this level have a significant impact on the subsequent market rhythm.
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