The Fed's September interest rate hike should be a certainty, and adding it twice this year should be the benchmark operation. So, what should BTC do next? I also analyzed and predicted three price trends of BTC from September to December in advance in last week's market weekly report: 1) Benchmark scenario: mainly volatile, with a pullback depth of 71K-73K. The area below 71K-73K is the intersection of Fib 0.5 (71200) and daily Fib 0.618 (73500). Please refer to the yellow and blue price paths in the figure below, which have a probability of up to 90% when combined. 2) Extreme scenario: If it falls below 71K or even 64K, the bull market will temporarily stall. 64K is an important structural level above the 200 week moving average. If it falls below, the bottom structure of the weekly line will be severely damaged, and the start of the bull market will be delayed. Please refer to the red price path in the figure below. The probability of this path is very low, I estimate it to be only 10%. At present, the center of gravity of BTC's daily and weekly lines is shifting downwards, and with the suppression of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, there is a high probability of BTC price decline and correction in the future. The price has now fallen below the key support level of 76K, and it may be inevitable for it to drop to around 73K in the future. Do you think it will eventually drop to 71K or 64K? Take a look at your opinions in the comment section.