Phyrex
Phyrex|9月 15, 2026 13:13
Is it possible to realize Trump's commitment of $5000 per person? Trump promised to give US $5000 to every adult American citizen if the Republican Party keeps the House and Senate in the mid-term elections in November. To prove that he could do it, he also mentioned the previously passed "Big and Beautiful" bill and the $1776 distributed to military personnel. In fact, as early as 2025, Trump was ready to send money, and the source of funds was tariff. Of course, this money has not been sent yet, and this time, 5000 dollars seems like a joke. Based on an estimate of approximately 240 million adult American citizens, with each person spending $5000, the total expenditure would be $1.2 trillion. Previously, about 1.45 million soldiers were given $1776, and a total of only about $2.6 billion was needed. The scale this time is over 400 times larger than before, which is a completely different financial pressure. And this money needs to be approved by Congress. Even if the Republican Party keeps both houses, they still need to win enough support from lawmakers. If it meets the conditions of the budget coordination process, it is indeed possible to strive for a simple majority push in the Senate, but given the current US fiscal deficit, who would approve this money? The US fiscal deficit for fiscal year 2025 has reached approximately $1.78 trillion. If there is no corresponding increase in revenue or reduction in other expenses, an additional $1.2 trillion in spending will be required to increase borrowing. Even if Trump said that he would pay with tariff revenue, he could not count the same revenue as both deficit reduction money and full subsidies. Regarding tax revenue, it does not necessarily mean that the government has surplus that can be freely distributed. Not to mention the significant uncertainty surrounding current tariffs. So from my perspective, the $5000 this time is even more ridiculous than the previous $2000. @Gate Crypto、 US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, South Korean stocks, gold CFD、 Predicting one-stop trading in the market
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