TraderS | 缺德道人
TraderS | 缺德道人|9月 15, 2026 11:08
At this point, with a 92.5% probability of a rate hike from the CME, no one is still fantasizing about no hike, right? To put it bluntly, if there’s really no rate hike at 2 AM on the 17th, that’s when you should hit the sell-all button and run. A rate hike isn’t scary; a sudden decision not to hike is what’s terrifying. In fact, ever since last week when oil prices started dominating the market, we should have shifted our focus to betting on whether there will be consecutive rate hikes. And this issue will completely explode if the rate hike happens but oil prices don’t drop afterward. So, if there’s still a high point in the market over the next few days, it might just be another escape window. Don’t hold onto any fantasies about new highs. The structure really doesn’t support it—at least not until oil prices see a substantial drop, which might then kick off a new round of market action. The timeline still points to October. @BITstocks_CN Buy U.S. stocks on BIT, 10,000+ U.S. stocks and ETFs, real holdings, and enjoy dividend payouts.
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