彼得兔|Sep 14, 2026 13:34
As shown in the figure, BTC has tested the key position of 76500 multiple times before rebounding to 78374 and falling back after being blocked. What should we do next? Has the first wave of decline that started with 82300 ended?
The trend judgment made on BTC in yesterday's video remains unchanged. Today, we will mainly follow up on small-scale market trends, and there are two possible trends in the future:
As shown in Figure 1, 78400-78555 is the purple Gann angle line 3/1 and also the Fibonacci 0.382 of 82300-76046, so it is very important for BTC to stand at this position. The rebound from 76046 can only be sustained by maintaining a stable position above it. The path from 82300 to 76046 is the first wave of decline from 82300, which belongs to the 4-hour level. Therefore, the rebound from 76046 is aimed at its same level. After maintaining a stable position at 78555, there is a high probability of a rebound high point. The reference above 79890 is 80350-80598. (Figure 2 in red)
If BTC cannot stabilize above 78400-78555 and cannot recover after breaking below 76500 again, then the first wave of decline from 82300 may not have ended yet. The path from 76046-79890 is a rebound during the decline, and the key support level below 76046 is between 74900-75100, which can provide support and also lead to a rebound against the entire decline. (Blue in Figure 2)
The difference in small level trends does not affect the trend market. Regardless of the red or blue trend, the rebound will continue to decline after it ends, because the correction against the black overall rise in Figure 2 is far from over.
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