水博乱乱
水博乱乱|Sep 14, 2026 13:04
Today's market BTC is the biggest anomaly in the entire market today, with the US stock market falling, gold falling, and crude oil rising. On a typical risk off day, BTC went against the trend . It seems that the cryptocurrency industry is all focused on Clarity Act today . This kind of reverse market usually doesn't last long . Two scenarios, if they continue to fail tonight, then make up for the drop .. If it passes today, it will continue to rise sharply in the short term and then continue to follow the macro trend . --------- Let's first take a look at the current situation of pending orders (Figure 1) We are still in the vacuum zone of spot orders It doesn't require a large amount of capital to drive prices So the middle part is still not particularly easy to do like last week. More certain are the two ends . I tested several times over the weekend and bought back the 77k below I only played a very small SFP early this morning, without even increasing the volume. The bulls were bought without being taken advantage of .. So you can see that there is still a lot of buying interest here for 75~76k Based on the pending orders in the white box of Figure 1, if there is still a chance to reach this point in the future, a low to high scenario that can be used is a large volume in the range of 75-76k . As long as you come, you can continue to play the game for a lower price The invalid position means that 75k cannot be retrieved It is only possible to further fill the large gap from August 20-21 if 75k cannot be collected. The high-altitude range above will continue to be between 80-81k. The same conclusion can also be referred to the ribbon model (Figure 2) ------------ From a structural perspective, it is also similar (Figure 3) There is also an untouched POC above 81k, combined with pending orders . Over the past few weekends, a large transaction intensive range has formed around 76.5-77k . (Figure 3) URPD also looks similar on the chain (Figure 4) So if you want to have a scenario where 75~76k is inserted above, the first step is to display a weakening in this range Not quickly recovered around 76.5k . (Now they are all rushing to the order placement area and being actively bought by buyers) ------------- So the overall idea today is not to bet on whether the claim act can pass . Observe the middle line . If we continue to surge upwards until we reach the 80-81k range, we will look for more volume . Below 76k, there should still be at least one opportunity for a low long rebound.
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