Call Iran Dad! To be honest, short selling oil recently has really made me a bit anxious. What worries me is not the rise in oil prices. My reserve is always at $120, and even if $120 is not enough, it's not a problem to raise it to $150, so my anxiety is never directed. The first thing that worries me this time is the attitude of Trump and the United States. My view has always been that high oil prices will plunge the United States into high inflation, and high inflation will force the Federal Reserve into the process of interest rate hikes. The impact of interest rate hikes on the U.S. economy and risk markets is self-evident. Secondly, there is the global attitude towards Iran. The blockade of Hormuz not only brings about an increase in US oil prices, but also a rise in global oil prices and inflation. Even though China's strategic oil reserves have surpassed the sky, oil prices are still rising due to the blockade of Iranian ports. Now, instead, the world is being restrained by Iran. The United States, which claims to be the strongest military power, has not subdued Iran, and China, the world's second-largest economy, is also at a loss because of Hormuz. What makes me most anxious is actually here. If the oil price only rises to $100, $110, or even $120, it will only be a matter of floating losses for my position. As long as the margin is sufficient, I can continue to wait. But if the United States, Europe, China, and Gulf countries are unable to change the current state of Hormuz in a short period of time, then market transactions will no longer be a short-term war shock, but the global energy trading system will be forced to accept a Hormuz that has long been controlled by Iran. This is the most outrageous part. One Iran can put the global economy in a passive position. It doesn't even require any high-precision weapons, aircraft carriers, or real control over the entire Indian Ocean. As long as there are small boats, drones, missiles, and the geographical location of Hormuz, it is enough to prevent large commercial ships and oil tankers from passing through normally. As long as Hormuz cannot be accessed normally, it will not only affect Iran's own oil, but also a large amount of energy exports from Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates. The most important energy channel in the world has been blocked by one country. The United States claims to uphold freedom of navigation every day, China needs to import a large amount of crude oil every day, Europe and Asia are bearing higher energy costs, and Gulf countries cannot transport their own oil. As a result, everyone watched Iran use Hormuz as a bargaining chip. What else is going on in this world. In the future, please call Iran 'dad'. @Gate Crypto、 US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, South Korean stocks, gold CFD、 Predicting one-stop trading in the market