BTC Market Weekly Report -9.14 Figure 1: Weekly chart 1) From the perspective of week K, the market plundered 60 and after 6 weeks of volatility around 64, it pushed up to 80. And currently, it has been fluctuating around 76-82 for 3 weeks, with a high of 82.85 waiting to be plundered. 2) I think there are only three types of scripts here; one ️⃣ It is a direct upward breakthrough to stabilize at 83, with a weekly bearish target around 92; two ️⃣ After plundering 83-86 fvg with pins, test again downwards around 80. three ️⃣ Let's go straight down here, first check the 70-72 test, and then look around 64-67. The specific direction will depend on the market. At present, the top core position is at 80, 83, and the bottom core position is at 755. 3) The two important macro events of this week are one ️⃣ At around 2:15 am on September 16th, a clear bill was put to a vote for the final debate on the "motion to initiate deliberation". This requires 60 votes to pass. Please note that this is the end of the debate and the formal entry into the full Senate review stage, not the final passage of the bill. two ️⃣ On September 17th at 2 o'clock, the Federal Reserve FOMC announced its interest rate decision and Walsh's speech. Although the market currently believes that the probability of a rate hike is 88.7%, whether to increase it or not still depends on Walsh. Whether to add or not to lower levels actually depends on oil prices and 10-year US Treasury bonds. If Oil continues to exceed 100 and the 10-year US Treasury bond breaks through 5, we will discuss whether to raise interest rates for the second time. If we don't raise interest rates, we will also discuss the next increase. Only when oil prices decrease, the 10-year US Treasury bond will decline, and if interest rates are raised, the situation will be considered under control, leading to dovish interest rate hikes. 4) Returning to BTC, currently BTC is really hard and still in a relatively strong oscillation. After the bad news doesn't move, we need to be optimistic about whether it can rise when the news comes or continue to fall below. Macro improvement+BTC rise → true strength. Macro improvement+BTC not rising → danger. Macro continues to deteriorate+BTC remains at 75k → very strong. Macro continues to deteriorate+75k break/retest fail → weakness finally confirmed, 72 → 70 → 67. Figure 2: Daily chart 1) Returning to the daily chart k, our focus is on the high volatility range of 755-82.85. Due to a week of volatile decline last week, especially after the CPI news on Friday, the price of the post-80s generation returned to the 77 position in the pin test. Currently, the price is mainly oscillating in the lower half of the range, so I believe that the nature of this oscillation has gradually shifted from "bullish waiting for breakthrough" to "bearish waiting for confirmation". The core is to see if 755 falls below. 2) At present, 795-806 is a short-term pressure zone in this area. I think rejecting here means there is a higher probability of going down. If we break through here, we need to pay attention to plundering 82.85. Level gives location，Reaction gives entry.