比特币橙子Trader|9月 14, 2026 01:43
The final 48 hours for the CLARITY Act, and both parties are still deep in discussions. Currently, the probability of it passing on Polymarket is 22%.
On September 11, Trump revisited the most sensitive ethics provisions for officials with his advisors.
On the evening of September 13, Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer convened a meeting with the Democratic caucus to discuss whether to allow a procedural vote for the CLARITY Act on Tuesday.
Trump's side is still focused on conflicts of interest. The current text prohibits certain federal officials and their spouses from issuing or promoting digital assets but still allows them to hold and invest in them. Additionally, children are not included, enforcement is primarily left to the Department of Justice, and the ethics provisions expire on January 20, 2029. Democrats have consistently argued that these measures are not strong enough.
Tillis and Gallego had previously proposed a stricter bipartisan version, which included divesting significant related equity or placing it in a blind trust, as well as enhancing accountability at the state level.
After Trump's discussions on Friday, no public conclusions were announced, nor was there any new ethics text released.
Then it was the Democrats' turn. On the evening of September 13, Schumer convened the caucus to discuss the CLARITY Act. Around a dozen Democratic senators who had been deeply involved in negotiations, including Gillibrand, Warner, Gallego, and Alsobrooks, are part of the core negotiating circle.
Ethics remains the biggest sticking point, and issues like stablecoin yields and anti-money laundering have not been fully resolved either.
As of the morning of September 14 (Beijing time), the Democrats have not announced a unified position, nor has there been any formal outcome from the closed-door meeting.
Regardless of the process, if the conclusion is that 60 votes are not reached, it will be a massive failure for both parties.
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