The Kobeissi Letter|9月 12, 2026 15:43
Shocking stat of the day:
~$7.0 trillion worth of T-Bills are currently outstanding, with ~$6.1 trillion maturing within the next year.
Including the remaining maturities, ~$7.5 trillion worth of marketable Treasury debt is maturing in 2026.
Another ~$4.0 trillion matures in 2027, followed by ~$3.5 trillion in 2028.
Meanwhile, if the Fed hikes rates by 75 basis points, annual interest costs on T-bills alone could rise by ~$50 billion, equivalent to 0.15% of GDP.
This comes as much of this debt would be refinanced at higher market rates than those at which it was originally issued.
The US is set to face a massive refinancing wave at higher borrowing costs.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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