Mike McGlone|Sep 11, 2026 10:07
Gold's Potential Lose-Lose vs. the Fed, Stocks
Gold may face a lose-lose vs. central banks and the stock market. The last time fed funds futures in one year (FF13-FF1) were priced for about 60 bps of rate hikes on the way down, as they are now, was in 4Q21. Gold bottomed about a year later near its 60-month moving average around $1,600 an ounce. Gold, at about $4,370 on Sept. 10, is roughly a 62% premium to this mean -- the most since 2011 -- and would be at its highest vs. the Bloomberg US Long Treasury Total Return Index since 1987 on a year-end basis.
Full report on the Bloomberg here: https://blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories/tl6ztckgcth2 {BI COMD}
#gold #Federalreserve @BBGIntelligence(Mike McGlone)
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