律动BlockBeats|Sep 10, 2026 09:51
**[Anthropic Projects AI-Driven Economic "Surge," Echoing Musk's Views: AI + Robots Could Double Global Economy]**
Beating AI News Flash: Anthropic's latest economic scenario model reveals that, in the most extreme case, if AI can autonomously complete the vast majority of knowledge-based tasks and achieve rapid adoption, the annual GDP growth rate in the U.S. could reach 15%, with the economy doubling approximately every 4.5 years. By 2030, GDP could hit $44.4 trillion, 32.4% higher than in scenarios without AI. Anthropic emphasizes that this represents a conditional extreme scenario, not a forecast.
Previously, Musk offered an even more aggressive outlook. Musk recently stated that the combination of AI and humanoid robots could drive global economic scale to more than double within less than 10 years, identifying mass production of humanoid robots as a critical milestone for this transformation.
The logic of the two perspectives shows clear alignment: Anthropic calculates the economic impact of large-scale AI automation in knowledge work, while Musk extends AI's capabilities into the physical world, suggesting that mass production of humanoid robots would expand automation from the digital realm to real-world production processes.
However, Anthropic explicitly notes that its current model does not account for humanoid robots with superhuman capabilities. Its survey of 10,980 U.S. respondents shows that typical expectations correspond to a 2030 GDP increase of only about 10% compared to scenarios without AI, with only around 10% of respondents providing estimates close to the extreme scenario.
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink