Let’s talk about the possible scenarios for BTC’s price movement. Scenario 1: Sideways consolidation before a rise—this is what I think is the most likely outcome. BTC might consolidate sideways for about 2-3 weeks. Even if it dips to the $73K–$76K range, it would still primarily be a phase of market rotation within a corrective trend. After that, BTC could retest $86K and push toward the $88K–$98K range. Based on current data, BTC’s buying pressure remains stable, and selling pressure is gradually being absorbed. Every time old holdings are sold, the same holder’s inventory at the original price level decreases. As long as demand persists, the market has the conditions to raise transaction prices, pushing BTC close to the $90K range. Scenario 2: The most optimistic case—macro pressures ease suddenly, and BTC surges to $90K–$100K ahead of schedule. If inflation data significantly lowers rate hike expectations and ETF buying continues, BTC could quickly break through $86K. The market would then rapidly push the price of BTC to the $95K–$105K range. A reduction in macro pressures would bring trend-following funds and short-covering back into the market. Institutions would quickly allocate funds, and more cautious investors would also pile into BTC, driving the price above $100K in no time. Scenario 3: The most pessimistic case. If inflation and bond yields continue to rise, and ETFs shift from buying to sustained redemptions, BTC could lose the $73K support level. It would then look for a new balance in the $64K–$68K range. This scenario is very unlikely unless we see a combination of rate hikes, rising long-term yields, continuous ETF outflows, rising oil prices, and other bearish factors happening simultaneously.