Mr. Xiaolong's Trading Review Room ——ZEC opens bull market ahead of schedule, where is the top? The Little Monster AI I trained predicts that if institutional ETFs (gray ZCSH conversion) land and the bull market continues, the mid-term price of ZEC coin will rise to $1300-1400. ZEC soared from around $800 to a historic high of $1255 in less than a week, and is now close to achieving the mid-term target price of $1300 predicted by Little Monster AI, with a market value exceeding $20 billion. This is not an ordinary rebound, it is a structural market driven by the continuous inflow of institutional funds through ETFs, large-scale liquidation of short positions, and a combination of privacy narrative reassessment. The current question is: Is 1255 the top or the halftime break? 1、 Breakthrough structure: textbook style three-stage upward movement. This round of ZEC's rise is not a single pulse, but a complete three-stage structure of "breakthrough → confirmation → acceleration": Phase 1 (September 3-4): Breaking through the old peak The price started from the $800 area, broke through the resistance of $900, and continued to break through the old top of nearly $900 in 2018 and the psychological barrier of $1000, reaching $1050. During this period, short positions were liquidated on a large scale, with tens of millions of dollars in short positions cleared when they only exceeded $1000. Phase 2 (September 5th): Flag shape consolidation After breaking through, the price briefly fluctuated in the $1000-1024 range, forming a short-term flag shape. This is a typical form of accumulation after a breakthrough, not a peak signal. Phase Three (September 6-7): Accelerated Boosting After the completion of the flag shape, the price restarted, breaking through $1100 and $1200 respectively, with the highest reaching $1253-1255. The three-stage structure is complete, breakthroughs are effective, and trends are confirmed. 2、 Rising engine: ETF funds+short squeeze, dual wheel drive ❗ ️ The two core driving forces behind the surge in ZEC this round are supported by real data: ① Grayscale Zcash ETF (ZCSH) continues to attract funds. The Grayscale Zcash ETF was listed on the New York Stock Exchange Arca on August 25th, with the code ZCSH and a management fee of 2.5%. As of September 4th, the asset size of the ETF has reached $463 million, holding approximately 444608 ZECs. Since its listing, it has recorded a net inflow of at least $34.4 million, with a single day inflow of approximately $12.6 million on September 2nd. This means that institutional funds are continuously buying ZEC through compliant channels, forming real buying orders. ② Intense short squeeze The open interest (OI) of ZEC futures reached $2.4 billion at one point, with extremely high leverage positions. During the process of ZEC breaking through $1000 and $1200, short positions were liquidated on a large scale, with approximately $54.3 million of leveraged positions liquidated within 24 hours, of which $48.91 million were short positions. A giant whale that opened a position of 32760 ZEC shorts at approximately $444 in early July, with a floating loss of approximately $25.7 million. The forced buying caused by the squeezing of bears further pushed up prices, forming a positive feedback loop. The combination of two forces, ETF buying and bear forced liquidation, explains why ZEC can rise so violently in a short period of time. 3、 Where is the top? Three signals must be observed simultaneously The first signal: Can $1200 go from "resistance" to "support". The price of $1200 has been broken through, but whether the price can stabilize above $1200 and complete a retracement confirmation is the core to determine the effectiveness of the breakthrough. If $1200 is repeatedly tested and does not break, it indicates that the bears have been defeated, and the probability of continuing to look up at 1300-1400 is higher. The second signal: whether ETF funds continue to flow in. The inflow speed of funds in grayscale ZCSH is the most authentic "fuel" for this round of market trend. If ETF funds continue to flow in, it indicates that the institution is still allocating ZEC and the upward logic has not been disrupted. If the inflow slows down or even turns into outflow, we need to be vigilant. The third signal: whether OI continues to grow. OI is a double-edged sword around $2.4 billion, as it amplifies both the upward and downward movements. If OI continues to grow and prices remain above 1200, there is still room for short selling in the market; If OI starts to decline and prices stagnate, it may mean that leveraged funds are retreating. As long as 1200 remains stable, ETF funds continue to flow in, and OI remains stable, the upward trend has not ended. A target of 1300-1400 is a reasonable short-term expectation. Bold prediction of ZEC coin price The bull market of Bitcoin is in the initial stage of starting, while the bull market of ZEC coin has already started and reached a new high. There is no fixed market above, and Grayscale and other ETF institutions are working together to control the funds. It is really difficult to guess the top if the price wants to reach a high level. If we had to make a bold prediction, I think it could reach $1800-2000, corresponding to a market value of around $30 billion. ZEC Trading Review Demon Coin Trading System AI Privacy Track