TraderS | 缺德道人|Sep 08, 2026 16:51
SPCX's performance today was quite interesting. At the opening, they killed 145 and cleared the hesitant long positions, then directly broke through 150 to reach 154.
Observing the historical candlestick chart, it can be seen that SPCX148-160 is also a consolidation area in the early stage, with many trapped stocks piled up.
At present, the main trading line of SPCX is still the Nasdaq 100 index re adjustment trading.
According to JPMorgan estimates, the SPCX index weight will increase from 1.25% to approximately 2.25%, triggering approximately $15.5 billion in passive net buying. TD Securities is more aggressive, claiming that its weight may exceed 3.5%.
If we follow the script of the first stock market entry in July, the rush for funds will continue until the last second before the entry takes effect, and once the news hits the market, the market will immediately decline.
So next, we need to pay attention to the performance after the official announcement of weights on September 11th. The closing on September 18th is the implementation observation point, and it will take effect on September 21st. Coincidentally, there happened to be CPI on September 11th and Japan's interest rate resolution on September 18th (with a high probability of raising interest rates). After 9/11, the market will start trading whether the increase in weight exceeds expectations and moves towards the actual published value, giving up or buying the difference.
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