Moreover, the continuous rise in oil prices that have not yet seen their end is a strong suppression on various risk assets If oil prices continue to rise like this and even break through 100 again, it will not only affect the FOMC meeting on September 16th, but may even increase the probability of two/three expected interest rate hikes within the year That is to say, even if it was added on September 16th, it would be over after adding it all. But if oil prices keep rising, the market will trade in October and continue to increase in December If the market falls into such a thinking of continuous interest rate increase, it will hit the risk market too much. Even if the chain reaction caused by the decline of the stock market eventually leads to panic, this round of foam will be over. However, the possibility of losing control in the second half of the year is not high, at least subjectively, the Sichuan Popularization Association intends to control. But objectively, it is difficult to predict/control what will happen, especially with the Middle East/Iran as variables. Assuming that crude oil continues to remain above 100, the market will directly start trading in a recession logic. In short, this week's focus will still be on oil prices and CPI data, especially since CPI data is a binary event, the probability of a rate hike in September will either plummet to 30% or bounce to 80%. The FOMC on September 16th is only the final confirmation with a stamp. @BITstocks_CN buys US stocks on BIT, with over 10000 US stocks and ETFs, holding real positions and enjoying dividends.