水博乱乱|Sep 07, 2026 12:48
Today's Market
U.S. stocks are closed... Still not much room for action today.
The second chance for last Friday's trapped shorts was used up this morning... (Image 1)
No significant volume, so it was just a quick scalp.
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Today's intraday opportunities are still about watching limit orders (Image 2).
Spot's major range is still 78k and 82k.
For the middle section, it's still about contracts.
Contracts are now densely positioned below 79k and above the 81.6k mentioned yesterday.
Whichever of these two ranges sees a volume breakout, it's worth watching closely.
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For now, the next plan is based on Image 3.
The reasoning is all on the chart, won't elaborate further.
Upcoming scenarios:
Bullish scenario:
Hold Friday's low at 78k -> Volume breakout below 78k in the contract limit order zone, consider going long -> Recover 80k -> Form a new consolidation zone above 80–81k -> Continue attempting new highs
Bearish scenario:
Test 81–81.5k and get rejected again (limit order zone) -> Fail to recover, only filling Friday's non-farm payroll gap -> Break below 78k and fail to reclaim -> Previous spot longs start getting trapped -> Test the buy zone above 77k POC -> If weakness continues, watch for whale support at 75–76k
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