Hupzy (manekora)|9月 06, 2026 17:13
Currency hedge ratio across 6 major markets dropped to 𝟰𝟭% — lowest since at least 2015 — leaving ~59% of foreign investors' US asset exposure unhedged against USD weakness.
Hedging costs fell too: Yen-based investors' 3-month USD hedge cost hit a 𝟰-𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗹𝗼𝘄 of 2.75%, down from 6.00% in Oct 2023. Euro-based costs at a 2-year low of 1.32%. Despite cheaper protection, investors are reducing hedges — betting the Dollar holds up.
𝗛𝘂𝗽𝘇𝘆 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: Trillions in unhedged US exposure is a structural risk-on catalyst for BTC. If the Dollar breaks lower, the unwind of this crowded unhedged positioning could amplify flows into non-yielding alternatives. Yen-specific hedge costs at a 4-year low mean protection has rarely been cheaper — yet investors are choosing to stay exposed, raising the stakes if USD reverses.
source: KobeissiLetter
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