Decentrader|Sep 05, 2026 19:40
bitcoin:native NUPL Cycle View
Historically, BTC cycle bottoms tend to come after NUPL enters the capitulation zone.
Right now, we’ve only briefly tested capitulation, and roughly 80%+ of holders are still sitting relatively comfortably on their BTC bags.
That makes a confirmed cycle bottom here less convincing.
Ideally, I’d expect BTC to test the capitulation zone at least once or twice more, or spend more time there, before calling a durable macro bottom.
So based on NUPL alone:
Bottom already in = possible, but unlikely.
A deeper/final bottom later in Q4 still looks more probable.(Decentrader)
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