小龙先生
小龙先生|Sep 03, 2026 21:17
3D Integrated Trading System | BTC Morning Market Review ---Whales and ETF spot institutions are buying low, leaving bears confused. Are they going to turn up? Brothers and sisters, BTC is back to 81500 again, the front high suppression area, and the steering wheel is up! However, whether it can break through 82K-83K still depends on Friday's non farm payroll data. Long short energy: 4H energy characteristics: The bullish energy significantly amplifies, with four consecutive 4H bullish lines yesterday, and the energy gradually increases. After reaching a high of 81500, the volume may slightly decline, but overall it is at a recent high. After the short position can be knocked out in the 77K-78K range, it is currently in a "stunned" state. Daily trading volume: On September 3rd, the trading volume significantly increased compared to previous days, belonging to the "volume breakthrough" structure. After the price reaches 80K, the market has a strong willingness to chase higher prices, and long positions can shift from the previous "exhaustion state" to "reactivation". Quantitative conclusion: In the short term, long positions can return to volume, and prices are approaching their previous highs with increased volume. But 81500 was the position where it was blocked twice before, and whether it was a sideways contraction or a breakthrough in volume here determines the short-term direction. Disk structure: 77K triple bottom confirmed, the low point gradually rises, 80K has stabilized, and 81.5K is currently being tested. The upper 82K-83K is near the 500 day moving average and is also a supply wall for long-term holders, with approximately 1.05 million BTC waiting to be released there. On chain data and financial behavior: Continuous inflow of ETF funds: On September 3rd, the net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETF was about $358 million, and BlackRock IBIT contributed $269 million in a single day. This week, net inflows have been maintained for three consecutive days, reversing last Friday's outflow trend. Giant Whale synchronous fundraising: Medium sized giant whales have accumulated a net purchase of 73300 BTC in 60 days, the highest since April 21st; Super Whale increased its holdings by 43300 units during the same period, indicating that institutional level funds are continuously expanding. Retail investors are still selling: Micro wallets holding small amounts of BTC continue to shrink, with funds shifting from small holders to large wallets. This is a typical process of "chips concentrating from the weak to the strong", which historically usually indicates significant price changes. On chain signal: Giant Whale synchronously attracts funds+ETF continues to flow in+retail investor sales are taken over, the direction of the three forces is consistent, and the bullish structure is solid. Xiaolong's core judgment: Short term excess, 81500 is a key watershed. If the volume is steady, then look up at 83K-84K; If obstructed, step back on 80K-78K to confirm support. The most likely path is 77K triple dip, whale fundraising, and continuous inflow of ETFs, with a much more solid bottom structure compared to 82K in May. But 81500 won't go through it all at once, it's more likely to rise 81500-82K and then step back on 80K to confirm support, and then break through upwards. 83K-84K is the true bull market confirmation line. Only by maintaining a steady volume can we confirm that this round is not a rebound, but a reversal. The medium to long term trading strategy of BTC needs to be adjusted. It is recommended not to wait for a deep pullback of 73500-71K, but to gradually go long by stepping back on 80K-78K and increasing volume to break through 83500 and follow the trend (bull market confirmed). The current price of 81550 is close to its previous high, and there is a possibility of a short-term retracement of 80K to confirm. A retracement is a good long position.
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