飞凡|Sep 03, 2026 05:56
Actually, BTC's resistance to inflation needs to be viewed from two types of inflation.
One is slow fiscal inflation.
Things like fiscal deficits, long-term currency depreciation, and the dilution of sovereign credit enhance BTC's narrative as a scarce asset, making it favorable for mid-to-long-term allocation of the big coin.
The other is rapid energy-driven inflation.
A sudden spike in oil prices raises inflation expectations, policy rates, and U.S. Treasury yields. On the trading side, BTC behaves more like a high-duration liquidity asset, which leads to short-term valuation pressure.
So the current situation isn’t contradictory:
The long-term currency depreciation narrative supports BTC, while the short-term high-interest-rate narrative suppresses BTC.
These two forces cancel each other out, so the price naturally moves sideways. And as long as the 10-year yield continues to approach 5%, it’s hard for the long-term narrative to immediately translate into sustained buying pressure for BTC.
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