[Probability of CLARITY Act Passing in 2026 is 15%, Procedural Senate Vote Expected as Early as September 15] Odaily Planet Daily News: According to data from the prediction market platform Polymarket, the probability of the CLARITY Act completing legislation and being signed by the President by 2026 is 15%, with related contract trading volume reaching approximately $11.62 million. Kalshi data indicates that the probability of this act or other qualifying crypto market structure legislation becoming law by July 1, 2027, is 30%, and by January 1, 2028, is 50%. On September 2, during a hearing, U.S. House Financial Services Committee Chairman French Hill listed the House's passage of the CLARITY Act as a committee achievement and stated that Republican committee members are pushing to enshrine related reforms into law to ensure financial rules are long-term and predictable. The U.S. Senate schedule shows that the motion to end debate on H.R. 3633 is expected to enter the voting stage as early as 2:15 PM on September 15, typically requiring 60 votes. On May 14, the Senate Banking Committee advanced the bill with 15 votes in favor and 9 against. Subsequent revisions to the text involve regulatory authority of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), consumer protection, illicit finance, DeFi, intermediary regulation, and disclosure requirements. ((Bitcoin.com) News)