Last week, $BTC closed with a rare large bullish candle not seen in years, followed by a gravestone doji with a long upper shadow. However, the high-level consolidation after the bullish candle shouldn't be directly interpreted as a bearish reversal signal. This week's weekly trend is critical: if it quickly moves downward, the market may fill the gap and test the 72,300 support zone below. If it consolidates for 2-4 weeks, allowing bears to rotate out and selling pressure to fully release, the probability of a continued upward breakout will significantly increase. Within the consolidation range, there will be repeated fake breakouts and fake breakdowns, shaking out both long and short stop-losses, with the main focus on choppy rotation. If bearish candles continue to shrink in volume and selling pressure weakens, the appearance of a bullish candle afterward is likely a signal that consolidation has ended and an upward trend is restarting. The current consolidation period is still insufficient. We need to wait for a full rotation between bulls and bears before a new large-scale trend begins. On the 4-hour chart, multiple topping candlestick signals have appeared consecutively (double-line reversal, long upper shadow, evening star). It's not recommended to chase longs. Key resistance: 78,800-79,300, where shorts can be considered with a stop-loss at 79,800.