Scientific Right Side Trading ": unwilling to accept it, and do not be at odds with money Time flies, it has been a week since BTC's explosive surge, Regarding market analysis and detailed personal trading plans for the future, I have already shared with you all in this week's analysis post. Interested friends can refer to the end of this article. Today, I plan to talk to you about topics beyond market trends: How to overcome the psychological pain associated with trading on the right side ❓」 // Your sole purpose in entering the financial market is to make money, nothing else Don't forget your original intention. I believe that most people, from the moment they first enter the financial market, There is only one thought in my heart: 'Make money'. Therefore, whether it is self research or observing others' analysis, Everything you do about the market should revolve around 'making money' in service; If what you do does not contribute to improving performance, it is futile and a waste of time. Recently, I have been frequently asked a question ： Berg, when you broke through STH-RP, BTC had already skyrocketed for a while. How did you overcome your mentality and make a decisive decision to enter? '' The answer is simple: 'I am indeed unwilling, but I don't want to be at odds with money.'. Do you know that the pain caused by losing 1 yuan needs to be offset by earning 2.44 yuan https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/1916678811347009885 // Taking the "right entry operation to break through STH-RP" as an example, From a scientific perspective, the situation at that time is shown in the attached figure: Looking forward to the 61K Liq being cleaned and following the three paths I expected As a result, the 61K Liq was not cleaned, but instead skyrocketed and broke through STH-RP directly Analysis: ➡️ If there is really a bullish trend: 'upward space' conservatively sees' front high ' ➡️ If the breakthrough fails: 'downward space' sees 50K downward Note: Evaluation of downward space Mainly using deep bear valuation models such as CVDD, Cointime Price, etc. to derive a range Can the myth of BTC's Maginot Line, which has never been breached, continue https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2077207779706802343 The ratio of "upward space" to "downward space" (profit loss ratio) is about 3:1, Therefore, from a mathematical perspective, as long as the probability of success in this breakthrough is' greater than 25% ', This is a transaction worth and should be intervened in (with a positive expectation) ✅ How do I know if the breakthrough success rate is greater than 25% ❓」 Based on my personal trading system evaluation, the market at that time had the following favorable conditions: Before the breakthrough, three bottom signals of the cycle had already been triggered (https://(((((x.com))))/market_gegar/status/2091702058009420064) When breaking through STH-RP, the bandwidth and amplitude are not small, rather than hovering around STH-RP and repeatedly pulling and pulling The massive accumulation of URPD before the breakthrough is a catalyst for the trend market The above three points are enough to make me believe that the success rate is>25%, This is also the main reason why I am willing to enter decisively. // In the world of trading, the issue of mindset is always the simplest but also the most difficult to solve. The simple point is: You only need to 'change your mind' at a certain moment to solve it without requiring a lot of training. The difficulty lies in: We are all human, if we don't accumulate a certain amount of experience in the financial market, It's a lie to say that you don't have emotions whenever you see your funds fluctuating in the market with the K-line. Emotions can exist, but they should not be allowed to interfere with your trading decisions, Do you want to earn money in a dull and boring way, or do you want to lose money in a stimulating and interesting way? Anyway, it's already dropped by 90%, let's take it. Maybe there will be a miracle https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2003643719082475953 The advantage of trading on the right side lies in its high degree of certainty, But also because sufficient confirmation signals are required to trigger entry conditions, This leads to a situation where the price at the time of entry is relatively less advantageous compared to trading on the left side. But still, as the saying goes, 'Don't be at odds with money.'. We buy an asset that has nothing to do with how much it has risen or fallen before, But it is only related to the 'expected value', as long as the expected value is positive (and can beat beta), We should strictly follow the discipline of implementing strategies, rather than being influenced by emotions to make judgments. Encourage together. The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone // Related reading resources Written in the beginning of the cow https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2091702058009420064 83K Structure Offensive and Defensive Battle: A Trend Reversal Battle on the Arrow https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2092427053534691727 Escape of PTSD patients in bear market: The first wave of profit taking begins to digest https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2092789623487660117