财经悟空|Aug 12, 2026 06:38
Key observation window: CPI data (released today, Wednesday). If inflation < 3.4%: cooling employment + declining inflation creates a positive combo, supporting Fed rate cuts, bullish. If inflation rebounds: stagflation concerns may arise, suppressing market sentiment.
Fund flows: Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of approximately $1 billion last week, marking the best weekly inflow since April.
BTC is showing bottom divergence, with MACD forming a bullish crossover underwater. The technical setup leans bullish. If this week closes with another green candle, the probability of filling the upper gap significantly increases.
Primary resistance zone: $67,000–$69,000, where chip gaps overlap. Potential pullback support exists at $62,400–$61,500 with liquidity.
For the market to truly kick off a major bullish wave, it needs to fully digest the selling pressure near $67,000.
Currently, the market is in an irregular consolidation phase with limited volatility and repeated fluctuations. It's tough to capture big profits with trend trades, making it more suitable for short-term/scalping operations. Market win rates are relatively low, so avoid heavy positions, reduce trading frequency, and strictly control risk. The mid-to-long-term bottoming consolidation phase is likely to persist for another 2–3 months, so don’t expect a quick breakout in the short term.
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