3D Integrated Trading System | BTC Evening Strategy Update ——BTC surged 64549 and then fell back, can the price continue to rebound in the future? How should trading strategies respond? Hey guys, good now! We will continue to analyze and assess the short-term market trend of BTC. This article is crucial for analyzing the BTC market! 1. The strength of long and short positions at the 4-hour level After the price broke through 64K, the bullish volume decreased and continued to shrink, and the momentum of chasing high prices significantly weakened. This rebound is not about how strong the bulls are, but about how weak the bears are, and the main force of bears has temporarily rested. However, a four hour upper shadow line appeared, indicating significant selling pressure around 64500, making it difficult for prices to continue rising. The daily volume can significantly decrease compared to the previous day. The daily volume price divergence has been re strengthened, and the signal of diminishing rebound momentum is becoming increasingly clear. Without further positive stimulation, prices are likely to turn downwards. 2. Spatial location The framework anchor for Fibonacci retracement is 57800 → 67500, with 0.236 located at 65300. The current high of 64549 is blocked, and the rebound is weaker than expected. 64500-64549 has become a high resistance in the short term, with multiple unsuccessful attempts to hit. The area below 63000-63500 is a dense support zone for chips on the chain, where about 10% of the supply is concentrated. If it falls below 63000, the next target points to 62000-62500. 3. On chain data tracking In terms of ETFs, there was a net inflow of 170 million on Monday, which further expanded to 211.5 million on Tuesday, marking two consecutive days of inflow and expansion in scale. But a giant whale opened a short position of $102 million at 64202 with 40 times leverage, only about 800 points away from the current price, and the long short game is fiercely underway above 64K. According to the data from Strong Ping, a large liquidity cluster has formed between 61500-62400 below the price. If the price falls back to this area, it may trigger the acceleration of long liquidation. There is also a cluster of short liquidity above 65000-67200. Long term holders continue to attract funds, while short-term holders panic and cut meat. About 155000 BTC in the range of 62000-65000 are exchanged, and the chain is classified as "absorbing" rather than "surrendering". 4. Judgment of 3D integrated AI Short selling conditions: Volume depletion+daily deviation+64549, the previous high was repeatedly blocked, and the short selling signal recovered for the first time from 0/7. But if the order book shows buy orders>sell orders, bears need to be cautious. Long conditions: Exceeding 64000 in volume ✅、 4H continuous bullish breakout pattern ✅， But the daily deviation has not been repaired, and the profit and loss ratio of chasing long is not good. Direction conclusion: The rebound is hindered and the bearish trend tends to rebound. 5. Specific trading strategies Short selling strategy (currently preferred): Entry area: 64200-64500 (near current price, below high resistance before 64549); Stop loss: 65000 (if the volume exceeds the previous high, the bearish logic will be falsified); First objective: 63500-63800 (upper edge of chip dense area on the chain); Second objective: 62800-63000 (located at the lower edge of the chip intensive area on the chain, where approximately 10% of the supply is concentrated); Position: light position (order book buy to support bottom, not heavy position), Long strategy (waiting for confirmation): Step back and go long: The price has fallen back to the range of 63000-63500, and after a decrease in volume or a long lower shadow line, try to go long with light positions; Stop loss: 62500 (if it falls below, support will be invalidated); Target: 64500-65000; Breakthrough long: Increase volume to break through 64549 and chase long after confirming the 4H solid bullish line; Stop loss: 64000; Target: 65300-65500; Observation area: The direction between 63800-64200 is unclear, and there is a tug of war between long and short positions. It is not advisable to open new positions. 6. The path deduction of BTC price in the future Path 1 (benchmark, 45%): The rebound peaked and fell back to 63000-63500. Trigger condition: 64549 obstruction+energy depletion. Path 2 (breakthrough, 30%): The rebound continues to reach 65000-65300. Trigger condition: Exceeding 64549 in terms of volume and good non-agricultural benefits. Path three (deep decline, 25%): Further dip to 62000-62500. Trigger condition: Falling below 64000+non farm bearish sentiment. Which side are you standing on today BTC has been repeatedly blocked before 64500, and its volume can continue to shrink. How do you think we'll go tonight? A: Breakthrough 64549, up to 65300 B: Restricted retreat, retrace 63000-63500 C: Continue to oscillate within the range of 64000-64500 Which one would you choose? Tell me your judgment and reasons in the comment section. I will put my choice in the comment section of this tweet.