BloFin Research|Aug 05, 2026 02:02
SpaceX beat on almost everything, and the stock still fell post market.
- Revenue came in at $7.8 billion versus about $6.81 billion consensus
- The loss was smaller than feared, $0.09 per share versus an expected $0.29 loss
- Adjusted EBITDA was $3.5 billion versus $2.0 billion expected.
What sank the stock was capex. Capital expenditures jumped more than sixfold from a year earlier to $18.37 billion, most of it, $15.83 billion, in AI.
The quarter reduced revenue risk, but valuation and execution risks remain extreme. At 40x sales and over 100x adjusted EBITDA, SpaceX still requires near-perfect execution.
A lockup expiry on August 6 frees roughly 900 million-plus insider shares, about $100 billion, a supply shock landing two days after the report.(BloFin Research)
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