Dune|Jul 30, 2026 13:02
Prediction markets cleared $13B+ across categories like politics, finance, technology, world events, weather, and culture, combined across Polymarket and Kalshi.
Finance alone is $2.08B, and its five biggest markets all track Fed rate decisions, repriced hourly ahead of every FOMC meeting. A few other markets on the list work the same way, as a cross-asset signal hedge funds and asset managers can actually use:
• "US forces enter Iran" and ceasefire markets, tracking the geopolitical risk premium under oil.
• US government shutdown odds, a fiscal read that moves in real time.
• Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair, a direct market view on monetary policy direction.
Every one of these is priced by traders putting capital behind an outcome, updated in real time.
Explore Prediction Markets data on Dune: https://eu1.hubs.ly/H0x6RC_0(Dune)
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